The CHP Blog
Rate Decisions, Elections, & Regulatory Capture
While it is unusual that I put out an update video early in the week, it became increasingly clear that expectation setting ahead of the next few weeks is necessary. Since the start of the year, I have alluded to the significance of the third quarter this year. I have proposed on numerous occasions, the weight of the evidence suggested that weakness would likely surface in markets as we entered late August through November. Not only is this proving to be true, but we are also receiving several new signals shining even more light on what we can expect ahead.
Trump Accounts
With Section 530A Trump Accounts launching on July 4th, we want to provide you with essential information regarding eligibility, rules, tax treatment and some lesser known details about these new savings accounts for minors. These accounts may not be exactly what you think and may be less beneficial (or even harmful) for your kid's future. But don't worry, there are many superior alternatives for saving for your child's financial future.
![Derailing our Train of [artificial] Thought](https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5ea9b56c737307794bcd0a42/1774864833272-4AWR8TCT8QULDBZJHXGW/b064cd5d-3537-4f2a-85f7-aa4163da4ead.png)
Derailing our Train of [artificial] Thought
it is my assertion that there is a bubble because most investors are asking the wrong question. However, I do not see this being a “reversion to the mean” bubble, rather it is an “innovation expansion bubble”. Yes, it will pop, but not everyone and everything will be impacted to the degree many fear; and there remains a good chance that even those who do suffer most, will be able to endure and come out ahead.
2026 Market Outlook
What do Venezuela, Greenland, Silver, and a very expensive vault tell us about the trajectory of the markets in 2026? One thing is becoming increasingly certain, the Currency War will continue and finding safety may be harder than ever before for today’s investors. Join Casey Fulp, CFP® as he breaks down his outlook for 2026 and how setting expectations can better help navigate the road ahead.
When Public Attention Meets Private Markets
With so much interest surrounding private assets, securities, and investments, you may be wondering, "Is this right for me?" Or maybe you are just wondering how this has become such a popular topic of conversation, seemingly out of nowhere. Casey Fulp, CFP® breaks down the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly side of Private Markets and helps shed light on how we got here. He also explains what you need to know if/when these start showing up in your employer retirement plan.
The Three Acts of Inflation
A dominant theme that we will be watching closely in 2025 is that of Reflation. In prior blog posts, emails, videos, etc. we have tried to shine a light on the fact that inflationary cycles tend to follow a fairly consistent pattern in history. I’ve often referred to this as the “3-Act Play”
Identity Protection Best Practices
Join Casey Fulp, CFP(r) as he dives into identity theft protection and the history of credit reporting. In this short video he will share several best practices to ensure you stay ahead of threats to your identity and financial well-being.
Driving a Minivan on the Autobahn
The minivan is your financial plan and investment portfolio. The investment market turmoil of 2022 is akin to the flight delays, hindering you from reaching your destination as quickly as you may have hoped. Inflationary pressures, Federal Reserve monetary policy, a looming recession risk, and geopolitical instability are akin to the bad weather all around. And those cars racing past you? Those cars are the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes. More specifically, those cars are what have been dubbed the “Magnificent 7 stocks”, or “Mag7” for short.
Market Update & Commentary - September 2023
Is the sky falling? Soft Landing or Hard Crash? Let’s look at the weight of the evidence.